Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 22nd, 2016 8:00AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include The Winter Permit System in now in effect (click here for more information). A series of storms may bring up to 40cm by Friday; avalanche danger is expected to increase through the week.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Today is forecast to be mostly cloudy and dry with moderate S'ly winds at ridgetop. On Wednesday the first in a series of Pacific storms is expected. Wed expect 5cm, Thurs 20cm and Fri another 20cm! Combined with moderate to strong S'ly winds, expect new storm slabs and windslabs to develop.
Snowpack Summary
Over the past week 70cm of snow fell at 1900m and is settling into a slab. This slab sits on the November 13 crust. Recent tests on this interface indicate that in some areas the slab may bond poorly and may be triggered by skiers. Yesterday the winds increased, with S'ly winds loading lee slopes and forming pockets of windslab at ridgetop.
Avalanche Summary
Yesterday skiers reported remotely triggering a size 2 windslab in Dispatchers Bowl. The avalanche occurred from a SE aspect at 2540m. The slab was 20-40cm deep. In addition, several size 1.5 to 2.5 avalanches were triggered naturally by windloading in steep paths off Mt Macdonald and Mt Tupper. Skiers have also reported sluffing from steep slopes
Confidence
Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Problems
Wind Slabs
After an extended period of relative calm, winds picked up over the past 48 hours. S'ly winds have loaded lee slopes forming pockets of windslab and building new touchy soft cornices. Yesterday skiers triggered a size 2 windslab from a SE aspect.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Below the light and powdery surface snow a slab is developing, and it sits on a hard crust. Recent tests have shown that this interface is becoming one to watch. With the forecast storms expect it to be increasingly reactive.
Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.Choose regroup spots that are out of avalanche terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 23rd, 2016 8:00AM