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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 15th, 2025–Mar 18th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Use caution on north and east aspects in the alpine where new wind slabs could be found

Warming and rain on Monday and Tuesday will likely trigger a natural avalanche cycle

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

One size 2, natural, wind slab avalanche was reported on Saturday in the Trout River Bowl. Check out the MIN for more details.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is highly variable; on exposed west aspects very little snow remains, on exposed north and east aspects new wind slabs could be found. These wind slabs will overlie a firm and supportive crust.

In sheltered terrain  at 500 m the snowpack is 100 to 130 cm deep. The mid and lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Check out this MIN from the Tablelands for more info.

On Monday freezing levels will likely spike far above the hills. The snow surface will become wet on all aspects and elevations. Significant snowpack loss could occur.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 0 to 4 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 1 to 4 cm of snow. 10 too 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

Monday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 mm of rain. 50 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with up to 20 mm of mixed precipitation. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind in the morning and 20 to 40 km/h north ridgetop wind in the afternoon. Freezing level falling throughout the day, likely to sea level by late afternoon.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been affected by wind.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Use extra caution for areas that are experiencing rapidly warming temperatures for the first time.
  • The first few hours of rain will likely be the most dangerous period.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Rider triggerable wind slabs will likely be found in exposed terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Cornices

Keep your head up and look for cornices, they could fail during periods of strong solar. Cornices are a hazard on their own but can also trigger wind slabs on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Rain and warm temperatures will likely trigger widespread wet loose avalanches on Monday. Avoid avalanche terrain during this time.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2