Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Tuesday Night: 15-25cm of new snow / Moderate to strong southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level rising to around 1400m.Wednesday: 5-10 cm of new snow / Moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 1000m.Wednesday night: 20-30 cm of new snow / Strong southerly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 800m.Thursday: 20-30 cm of new snow / Strong southerly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 800m.Friday: 15-20cm of new snow / Light to moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 500m.

On Tuesday, a size 1.5 skier triggered storm slab avalanche was reported near Mt. Seymour. With more snow and wind on the way, natural and human-triggered storm slab activity should continue throughout the week.

In recent days the region was pummeled by heavy precipitation with the rain line hovering around 800m. As of Tuesday morning, the 72 hour precipitation totals were up to 130mm on the North Shore mountains with closer to 60mm falling north of the Fraser Valley. Strong to extreme winds have redistributed the new snow into deep, dense and potentially destructive storm slabs while rain has saturated the snowpack at lower elevations. The reactivity of the new storm slabs is likely to vary greatly depending on elevation/ temperature and orientation to wind. In general, I would expect the touchiest conditions to exist in exposed, higher elevation terrain.