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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 21st, 2016–Apr 22nd, 2016
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: South Columbia.

Spring Conditions. No overnight refreeze of the snow surface means it will not take much sun to rapidly increase the hazard.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Freezing Level: 3200m, mostly cloudy with possible flurries, light to moderate southerly ridgetop winds. SATURDAY: Freezing Level: 2500m, cloudy with possible flurries, light northwesterly ridgetop winds. SUNDAY: Freezing Level: 2300m, cloudy with possible flurries, light westerly ridgetop winds.

Avalanche Summary

Most commercial operations have closed for the season, and data is becoming sparse.

Snowpack Summary

Monitoring the overnight freeze of the snow surface is very important during the spring. If the snow surface does not freeze overnight or if the crust is only a few cm thick, the effect of daytime heating and solar radiation will weaken the snowpack much more quickly than it would if there is a well frozen thick crust. This is because the crust must first melt before the sun can weaken the snowpack. Deeply buried weak layers in the mid snowpack and near the ground still have the potential to wake up and become active with a rapid warm up. While unlikely, releases on these deeply buried weak layers would result in very large avalanches. Glide cracks are widespread, active, and best avoided. Cornices are large, fragile, and could trigger deep slab avalanches that run to valley bottoms. The snowpack in many areas has become isothermal, meaning the snowpack is 0 degrees Celsius throughout. An isothermal snowpack is more prone to full depth wet slab avalanches during the heat of the day.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Solar radiation in the spring can rapidly change the hazard from low to high. Plan ahead and monitor the effect of solar radiation carefully.
Watch for surface clues such as sluffing off of cliffs and pinwheeling. These are red flags that should prompt you to reevaluate the conditions. >Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Wet Slabs

No overnight surface refreeze will increase the potential for sporadic deep wet slab release.
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches. >Avoid slopes with glide cracks. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 3 - 6

Cornices

Be sure there is more than air under your feet when traveling on corniced ridges.
Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices. >Cornice releases have the potential to trigger deeply buried weak layers. >Stay well back from cornices. >

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 1 - 4