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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 16th, 2020–Jan 19th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

Rising temperatures and increasing winds will keep the hazard elevated over the next few days.

Weather Forecast

Temperatures are uncertain on Friday as the arctic air mass is displaced by warmer pacific air, with models giving us a wide range of townsite temperatures anywhere between -2 and -30 degrees celsius. What is certain is things will warm up over the next few days bringing flurries and moderate to strong ridgetop winds out of the west

Snowpack Summary

Continued low density storm snow will present itself as blower pow over facetted snow down low, and windslab as you transition into treeline terrain. The December crust (present up to 1800m) is deteriorating with cold temps. The mid snowpack has been facetting with cold temperatures, and a weak facet/ melt freeze crust still lurks at the base.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Increasing westerly winds will continue to form windslabs in the alpine and treeline. Be aware of the potential for buried windslabs in unexpected places.

  • 937
  • Variable winds may create pockets of wind slab in some unexpected locations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

Watch out for fast-moving dry loose avalanches in steep terrain, especially if temperatures warm quickly.

  • Be cautious with gully features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5