Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the complexity of the snowpack’s structure.

MONDAY: Another 5 cm possible overnight. Moderate southwest winds. Freezing levels around 1000 m.

TUESDAY: Scattered flurries continue with moderate to strong southwest winds. A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level around 1000 m, alpine high of -2. 

WEDNESDAY: 5 cm of snow overnight. Isolated flurries over the day with moderate southwest winds. Partly cloudy. Freezing levels 1000 m. Alpine high -2. 

THURSDAY: Flurries continue with strong southwest winds. Partly cloudy. Freezing levels around 1000 m. 

Human triggered wind slab activity continued on Sunday, to size 1 in wind loaded features. Sluffing was observed out of steep and sheltered terrain features. 

The late February surface hoar has shown reactivity in recent snowpack tests, and avalanche activity over the last 3 days. A remote size 1.5 was triggered on a northeast aspect at 1450 m. A MIN report describes a size 2 slab avalanche triggered by a snowmobile on a southeast facing alpine slope from Saturday. This layer is most likely to be triggered where winds are loading sheltered open slopes at treeline. 

10-20 cm of storm snow has likely been redistributed into wind loaded pockets by strong southwest winds. 

Around 30-40 cm deep, a surface hoar layer buried in late February is preserved in wind sheltered features at treeline and low alpine elevations. On sun affected aspects, this interface exists as a crust. This layer has shown to be reactive in snowpack tests and recent avalanche observations. 

The thick mid-February crust is now buried 50-70 cm deep. These layers are unlikely to be human triggered, but possible to trigger with very large loads such as avalanches in motion or cornice falls.

The lower snowpack is well protected by the mid-February crust, and triggering avalanches below this layer is unlikely at this time. 

• Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
• Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
• Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.