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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 22nd, 2019–Dec 23rd, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

The recent snow is likely stabilizing but may need a bit longer at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear skies, light northwest wind, treeline temperature -1 C, freezing level 1100 m.

MONDAY: Clear skies, light west wind, treeline temperature -3 C, freezing level 700 m.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light southwest wind, treeline temperature -3 C, freezing level 600 m.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, light west wind, treeline temperature -3 C, freezing level 600 m.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle occurred on Friday during the peak of the storm. Avalanche activity is expected to decrease as the weather cools.

Snowpack Summary

Around 50 to 100 cm of snow fell in the past few days. Above around 1200 m, all of this likely fell as snow and rests on a hard melt-freeze crust. Below around 1200 m, rain soaked the snow which has now produced a crunchy melt-freeze crust on the surface.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead hazards when solar radiation is strong.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The recent storm snow is likely stabilizing, but may remain reactive to human activity at higher elevations, notably above around 1200 m. Use particular caution on steep slopes near ridges, where the snow may have been blown into deeper deposits.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2