Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 8th, 2016 5:12PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

Be on the lookout for pockets of wind slab below alpine ridges. Sunny skies can make these slabs increasingly sensitive, even on cold days.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Friday: Mostly sunny / Strong to moderate easterly winds diminishing in the afternoon / Weak inversion with a alpine high of -16 C.Saturday: Mix of Sun and cloud / Light to moderate easterly winds / Alpine high of -18 C.Sunday: Sunny / Light easterly winds / Alpine high of -16 C.

Avalanche Summary

Wind slabs avalanches are a concern where wind is being blown around. No new avalanche reports on Wednesday; however, check out the recent MIN report for the Miller Ck/ Crater Lk area. That report indicated a natural size 2 slab avalanche which appeared to be a cornice failure in steep complex terrain. The avalanche was noted from a southeast aspect at 1850 m.

Snowpack Summary

Recent winds have blown from many directions, most recently from the east. As a result, expect wind slabs to exist on a wide variety of exposed slopes. A layer of surface hoar was reported around Hudson Bay Mountain last week, which now sits beneath 40-50 cm of settling snow. A thick rain crust that formed in early November is now buried 50-60 cm deep, and recent snowpack tests produced sudden results on facets (sugary snow) above this crust. Early season snowpack observations are still very limited in the region, but reports suggest the average snowpack depth is 50-90 cm at treeline and 120 cm or greater in the alpine.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
New wind slabs may exist in the alpine and on exposed features at treeline. Wind slabs may be touchy in areas with buried surface hoar.
Watch your transition into wind affected terrain. Some areas may have been reverse loaded by winds.Tread cautiously on open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 9th, 2016 2:00PM

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