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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 24th, 2017–Nov 25th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

A thick crust has formed near the snow surface at all elevations with limited new snow above it -- be cautious of poor snow quality and newly-formed wind slabs.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

The next wave of precipitation is expected to begin Saturday evening and may transition from snow to rain to snow again.SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries, light to moderate southwesterly winds, freezing levels near 1500 m. Snowfall to begin Saturday evening.SUNDAY: 10-20 mm precipitation throughout the day with snow switching to rain Sunday morning, moderate to strong southerly winds, freezing levels rising to around 2200 m.MONDAY: A mix of sun and cloud, light to moderate westerly winds, freezing level near 1200 m.

Avalanche Summary

Many loose wet avalanches were observed on Thursday. Temperatures cooled down on Friday and wet avalanche activity has quieted down. We currently have very limited observations in this region; please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

The depth of the snowpack varies greatly with elevation. Recent reports suggest the average depth is 150 to 200 cm in the alpine, 100-150cm at treeline, and decreasing rapidly below treeline where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks.10 to 20 cm of new snow and moderate to strong winds may have formed wind slabs at treeline and alpine elevations. The new snow sits on a thick crust formed from the rain that fell to mountain tops on Wednesday and Thursday. The snowpack shrunk with the rain and should be well-settled at all elevations. The major feature in the snowpack is a deeper crust which was formed at the end of October and can be found approximately 100 cm below the snow surface at treeline elevations.We currently have very limited snowpack observations within this region and it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow fell on Thursday and Friday with moderate to strong winds. Wind slabs are expected in lee terrain features.
Avoid areas which have been loaded by new snow and wind.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The likelihood of triggering this deeper layer has decreased with the formation of a surface crust from the rain on Wednesday and Thursday. Caution is advised where the deeper layer was not saturated and where the snowpack is thin.
Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3