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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 2nd, 2023–Feb 3rd, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Watch for fresh, reactive wind slabs on north and east facing slopes in the alpine and treeline. Be especially cautious of wind slabs in steep, unsupported, and convex terrain features.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, a skier accidental wind slab avalanche was reported on a south-facing slope at 1800 m. This avalanche was 70 cm deep and is suspected to have slid on the Jan melt-freeze crust. Check out the MIN for a detailed report.

Thank you for the MIN's, please continue to post your reports and photos to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Southwest winds have redistributed 5-15 cm storm snow into fresh wind slabs over previously scoured surfaces on northern aspects. On southern aspects storm snow overlies stiff wind slabs. A breakable crust exists on the surface at lower elevations and on steep solar aspects to 1800 m. Softer snow still exists in sheltered areas at treeline and below.

A melt-freeze crust from mid-January is found down 30-40 cm in many areas but up to 70 cm in wind-loaded places. Isolated weak layers may exist within the middle and lower snowpack below this, but the thick crusts sitting above them make triggering avalanches on these layers unlikely.

Snowpack depths are 150 to 200 cm at treeline and taper rapidly below 1500 m.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Mainly clear with cloudy periods. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperatures -3 ËšC. Freezing levels 1200 m.

Friday

Mainly clear with cloudy periods. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ËšC. Freezing levels 1400 m.

Overnight cloudy with isolated flurries, 2-10 cm accumulation.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, 2 cm accumulation. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ËšC. Freezing levels 1500 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with scattered flurries, 2-5 cm accumulation. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ËšC. Freezing levels 1400 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Southwesterly winds are building fresh wind slabs at higher elevations in lees. New wind slabs bury a variety of wind-affected surfaces including stiff wind slabs covering a thin temperature crust on southerly slopes from last week's northerly outflow winds. Avoid freshly loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2