Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
Heavy snowfall and strong winds have created dangerous avalanche conditions.
Now is a great time to visit your local ski hill and avoid avalanche terrain in the backcountry!
Confidence
High
Avalanche Summary
A large natural avalanche cycle (up to size 3.5) began overnight Saturday into Sunday due to large snowfall amounts and strong southerly winds. Several avalanches have reached the ends of their runouts.
A group up the Asulkan Valley triggered a size 2 avalanche today, which partially buried one of their party members.
Avalanche control is beginning in the highway corridor at 4pm today.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 50cm of snow (and counting!) has been combined with moderate to strong southerly winds. This new snow buries a variety of surfaces, including a breakable crust, widespread surface hoar, and sastrugi in the Alpine.
Lurking below this is a persistent weak layer (PWL) of surface hoar, facets and/or suncrust (Jan 30th) 70-110cm down. Feb 16 is another PWL (facets/crust/surface hoar) down 60-90cms.
Weather Summary
The atmospheric river is forecast to transit out of BC Monday morning.
Tonight Flurries, 12cm. Ridge winds west 20km/h gusting to 80. Freezing level (FZL) 900m.
Mon Cloudy with flurries. Trace accumulations. SW wind 15 gusting 40km/hr. FZL 1100m
Tues Cloudy, trace of snow. Alp high -6°C. Light ridge winds. FZL 1300m.
Wed Flurries, 9cm. Light ridge wind. Alp high -4°C. FZL 1400m.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
- Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
This atmospheric river is bringing heavy precip with strong winds. This is building a widespread storm slab that is reactive on all aspects and elevations. Natural avalanche activity is very likely, limit your overhead exposure
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Persistent Slabs
There are buried persistent weak layer (PWL) 's down 50-110cm in the snowpack, consisting of suncrust/facets/surface hoar. This weekends storm slab may overload these layers, causing large, destructive avalanches.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5