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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 15th, 2023–Apr 16th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Lingering wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers on lee aspects in the alpine.

Avoid steep, rocky, and wind affected areas where triggering slabs are more likely.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were reported on Friday.

A size 3 persistent slab avalanche was reported on a southeast aspect in the alpine west of Kelsall lake on Thursday. It was suspected to have been triggered by solar radiation.

Observations are limited at this time of year, please consider sharing any information or photos you have on the Mountain Information Network to help guide our forecasts.

Snowpack Summary

20-30 cm of recent snow and light to moderate south wind may have formed wind slabs in isolated lee features in the alpine.

The recent snow sits over previously wind-affected snow surfaces on northerly aspects and sun crust on other aspects.

A weak layer of surface hoar/crust/facets buried in early January is now around 100 cm down in most areas. Operators continue to monitor this layer. A significant warming event or a large trigger (like a falling cornice) are the most likely things to activate this layer.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-10 cm / 20 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -8 C / Freezing level valley bottom

Sunday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries; 0-10 cm / 10 km/h east ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -4 C / Freezing level 900 m

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud / 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -4 C / Freezing level 800 m

Tuesday

Snow; 10-15 cm / 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -2 C / Freezing level 1100 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Lingering wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers on lee aspects in the alpine.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar/crust/facets buried in early January is now around 100 cm down in most areas.

Operators continue to monitor this layer. A significant warming event or a large trigger (like a falling cornice) are the most likely things to activate this layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 3