Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mbender, Avalanche Canada

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New snow is expected to arrive with southwest wind making wind slabs the main concern. Avalanche danger may increase through the day in the south of the region where more snowfall is expected.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

We have not received any reports of avalanche the last few days.

Looking forward, it remains possible that riders could trigger wind slabs in lee terrain features at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate southwest wind is expected redistribute new snow falling Wednesday night through Thursday, forming wind slabs in lee terrain features near ridges. Soft snow may prevail in terrain sheltered from the wind.

A thick and hard widespread crust that formed in early February is buried 40 to 60 cm deep. This crust may have a weak layer of facets sitting above it.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 3-8 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 - 15 cm of snow. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Friday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries. 15 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud. 15 to 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully monitor the bond between the new snow and old surface.
  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Watch for avalanche hazard to increase throughout the day.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may remain triggerable to riders. Assess for slabs in lee terrain features prior to committing.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of facets may exist above a hard melt-freeze crust that formed in early February. Humans could trigger this layer, or smaller avalanches could step down and form large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 29th, 2024 4:00PM