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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 22nd, 2014–Dec 23rd, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

With as much as 10cm coming our way in the next 48hrs the building windslabs in the alpine should be on one's radar. Treeline and below might have some decent skiing tucked away in sheltered areas tomorrow and the next day.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

5 cm's of snow is forecasted for the next 24hrs with strong alpine winds (50km/hr). Temperatures will remain reasonable with an alpine high of -7. Down the road, we are expecting a short pulse of snow that may force the hazard up. For the incoming pulse, winds will reach into the extreme range from the west.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches

Snowpack Summary

Light to moderate snow transport at ridge top has been helping the windslabs build. While immediate lee areas are the most likely places to find the slabs, we can expect these slabs to start creeping down further and further from the ridges. Open areas at treeline will likely have these slabs as well. Aside from these new slabs, it is business as usual with the deeper crusts. The Nov 6th has the most potential for significant avalanches due to its deeper position (60-90cm's down).

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Immediate lee areas near alpine ridges are the zone for this problem. Assess the transitional areas carefully.
Avoid steep lee and cross-loaded features>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Crossloaded features in the alpine and upper treeline are the most likely places to encounter this problem. If a slide does initiate, expect wide propagation.
Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.>Avoid cross loaded slopes at or above treeline.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4