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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2016–Jan 29th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

In the west of the region where recent accumulations were the greatest, new wind slabs are expected to be deeper and more reactive

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

On Friday expect 5-10cm on new snow, strong southerly winds and freezing levels at about 800m. On Saturday, the region will see another 5cm of new snow with mainly overcast skies forecast for Sunday. Winds for the weekend will be mainly light from the north while freezing levels hover around 500m.

Avalanche Summary

There are very few recent observations from the region. Light to locally moderate amounts of new snow and extreme southwest winds likely sparked a new round of wind slab activity. Recent rain may have also promoted loose wet avalanche activity at treeline and below.

Snowpack Summary

Since Monday night generally light amounts of new snow fell in the mountains around Smithers while closer to 40 cm fell in areas further west. Strong to extreme winds have likely redistributed much of this new snow into reactive wind slabs at higher elevations while surfaces at treeline and below are likely now moist or refrozen due to rising freezing levels during the system. There is a notable persistent weakness of buried surface hoar in many places, generally found between 30 and 80 cm deep. Wind and milder temperatures may have helped to promote slab development in the snow overlying this interface. In other areas, rain may have destroyed the layer. Stay tuned to signs of instability like recent avalanches, whumpfing, and shooting cracks. The mid pack that was reported to be well settled may have now facetted in the shallower areas, and the deeper basal layers are almost certainly facetted and weak.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Continued strong winds and new snow have likely formed reactive wind slabs at treeline and in the alpine. New winds slabs are expected to be larger on the west side of the region where recent accumulations were the greatest.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain. >Choose well supported terrain without convexities.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

New snow has been slowly accumulating over a layer of facets and surface hoar. In some areas, recent rain may have destroyed the layer. In other areas, the overlying slab may be primed for human triggering.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.>Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3