Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 4th, 2012 9:35AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain on Sunday
Weather Forecast
The next few days should bring generally benign weather, except on Sunday when a weak disturbance will bring very light snow to the area. Otherwise, expect no precipitation, light winds, cool nights and warm days.
Avalanche Summary
On Friday, slab avalanches up to size 3.5 were reported in response initially to rain and then during the day to intense solar radiation. On Thursday, numerous large (up to size 3) slab avalanches were reported out of lee terrain (SW predominantly) along Bear Pass during the warming period as the snow turned to rain. Lower elevations were especially active.
Snowpack Summary
Total snowpack depths pushing 5m at treeline are at new record levels for this time of year. Recent warm temperatures helped settle storm snow into a touchy surface slab at lower elevations. Other weaknesses can be found within the upper snowpack and the Jan. 20th facets down around 150cm. These create the potential for large step-down avalanches, but things seem to be settling rapidly. Strong winds associated with recent storms means large weak wind slabs and cornices on lee and cross-loaded terrain. Most snowpack concerns are limited to the surface layers. However, large triggers such as cornice falls and smaller avalanches stepping-down could affect deeper weaknesses.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 5th, 2012 3:00AM