Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Columbia.
The spring sun can pack a punch and quickly initiate loose wet avalanche activity on steep slopes. Be ready to back off as the snow surface becomes moist. Lingering wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers on lee features at alpine and treeline elevations.
Confidence
Moderate -
Weather Forecast
A ridge of high pressure sets up over the province bringing sunny, dry weather. Freezing levels are forecast to steadily rise through the week.
Sunday night: Clear. Light wind switching east. Alpine temperature around -8. Freezing level valley bottom.
Monday: Mostly sunny. Moderate east wind. Alpine temperature around -5. Freezing level 1600 m.
Tuesday: Sunny. Moderate east wind. Alpine temperature around -3. Freezing level 1800 m.
Wednesday: Sunny. Moderate to strong east wind. Alpine temperature around 0. Freezing level 2400 m.
Avalanche Summary
Wind slabs have shown quite limited reactivity in the last couple of days, a few natural and ski cut size 1-1.5 were observed on Saturday and Sunday. On Friday, most activity in the recent snow was limited to loose dry sluffing.
A couple of recent natural cornice failures size 2.5 did not trigger slabs on slopes below. One entrained loose dry to size 2.
Neighboring Glacier National Park reported a few very large (size 3-4) glide slab releases on Thursday. Glide slabs are hard to predict and can release at any time so it is important to avoid slopes with glide cracks.
Last Tuesday, a natural size 3.5 wet slab was reported from an S-SW aspect at 2500 m to 1800 m along with numerous wet loose avalanches up to size 1. We can expect more activity like this in the heat this week.
Snowpack Summary
20-40 cm of well-settled recent snow has been wind affected at upper elevations. On North aspects in the alpine, the recent snow sits on dry wintery snow surfaces and possibly surface hoar on wind-sheltered slopes. Elsewhere, it sits on a series of melt-freeze crusts on all aspects below 1900 m and southerly aspects to mountain top. Reports indicate snow is bonding well at these interfaces.
The recent warm weather is expected to have helped old persistent weak layers heal, including a few crusts buried over the last month as well as a facet layer 150 cm deep from the mid-February cold snap.
Terrain and Travel
- Avoid slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if they have large cornices overhead.
- Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
- Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches
- Small avalanches can have serious consequences in extreme terrain. Carefully evaluate your line for wind slab hazard before you commit to it.
Avalanche Problems
Cornices
Cornices are especially fragile this time of year. Cornice falls are dangerous in their own right and they can also trigger slabs on slopes below.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Wind Slabs
Lingering pockets of wind slab may be triggerable in unsupported terrain features.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 1.5
Loose Wet
Surface snow can quickly lose cohesion and become unstable with solar warming during the day. Avoid exposing yourself to terrain where a small wet loose release could have big consequences.
Aspects: South East, South, South West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 1.5