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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 31st, 2017–Feb 1st, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Little Yoho.

Ice climbers: be wary of recent loading that may not be evident at the valley bottom levels. Several events over the weekend originating at upper elevations affected the climbs on Mt Dennis.

Weather Forecast

Moderately cold sunny weather  is forecast. More facetting is expected.

Snowpack Summary

In many areas, a generally weak snowpack exists below 2000-2200m . At 2000m, there is generally 140 cm of snow, with the Jan 17 surface hoar layer down 30cm producing sudden planar test results. In the mid-pack, the Dec facets are 20cm thick, and near the ground some weak facets sit just below on an old ice crust. Ew.

Avalanche Summary

Strong to Extreme South and West winds produced an avalanche cycle over the weekend. No avalanches were reported today.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The generally weak, facetted mid pack is producing moderate to hard shears. In the upper snowpack around treeline a buried layer of surface hoar produces variable shears. Increased slab development overlying these layers is likely with recent winds.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
  • Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Fresh windslabs exist in the immediate lees and will remain reactive for some time after the winds abate.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2