Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 28th, 2014–Mar 29th, 2014

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: Zonal flow directs the bulk of the moisture stream at the South Coast while the North Coast remains high and dry.Saturday: Freezing Level: 500 - 1000m Precipitation: Trace; Treeline Wind: Light, E | Ridgetop Wind: Moderate, SESunday: Freezing Level: 200 - 800m Precipitation: Nil; Treeline Wind: Light, SE | Ridgetop Wind: Light, VariableMonday: Freezing Level: 400 - 1200m Precipitation: Nil; Treeline Wind: Light, Variable | Ridgetop Wind: Light, Variable

Avalanche Summary

Loose snow avalanches to size 2 were running in the recent storm snow on both SW and NE facing slopes Thursday. One fresh wind slab on a NE facing feature at 1700m was also reported. We received a report of a skier triggered avalanche in the Kispiox range that occurred on Wednesday. The size 2 avalanche caught and carried a skier on an alpine feature, thankfully the skier walked away from the incident. Sounds like it ran on the March crust/facet/surface hoar interface.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow (40-50 cm) has been transported into pockets of wind slab by moderate Southwest winds in the South of the region and by Easterly winds in the North of the region. The storm slab is sitting on the March persistent weak layer of crusts/facets/surface hoar that is widespread across the region. A late January/early February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is still showing up in snowpack tests with moderate to hard shear test results. This layer is expected to be with us for a long time, and a slide triggered on this layer could be very large and destructive.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Easterly winds have developed wind slabs on lee aspects. Some areas in the South of the region may have had periods of Southwest winds.

Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Persistent Slabs

The recent storm snow may not be well bonded to the buried weak layer of crusts/facets/surface hoar that developed during early March. Forecast cool temperatures may help to preserve this weak layer.

Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Deep Persistent Slabs

The deeply buried persistent weak layer from early February continues to be a concern. Heavy loads like cornice falls or storm slab avalanches in motion may trigger this weak layer resulting in very large and destructive avalanches.

Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.>Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 4 - 7