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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 9th, 2023–Mar 10th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

The alpine is the most likely place to encounter avalanche problems like stiff wind slabs and buried weak layers. The best and safest riding can be found in sheltered treeline terrain in side valleys.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, a size 2.5 persistent slab avalanche was remotely triggered by skiers on a ridgetop in the alpine. The slab propagated widely on a thin, rocky southeast aspect and it stepped down to basal facets lower on the slope.

Snowpack Summary

Outflow winds from the north have done a real number on the surface snow scouring exposed terrain, creating waves of sastrugi in more sheltered terrain, and forming wind slabs on southerly aspects. Very sheltered terrain in side valleys to the east and west of White Pass still harbour softer snow for riding.

The middle of the snowpack is very firm and settled. There is a surface hoar layer buried 60 cm (Powder Valley, Tuthsi, Paddy Peak) to 120 cm (White Pass) deep in sheltered, mostly north facing terrain features that produced some large, human-triggered avalanches in January and February.

At the base of the snowpack large sugary crystals persist.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

A few cm of snow. Moderate northeasterly wind. Alpine low -18 ËšC.

Friday

Light flurries in the morning and a mix of sun and cloud in the afternoon. Moderate to strong northeasterly wind. Alpine high -17 ËšC.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud with scattered flurries. Moderate to strong northeasterly wind. Alpine high -20 ËšC.

Sunday

Sunny. Light to moderate northeasterly wind. Alpine high -18 ËšC.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may remain reactive on west to south aspects in the alpine. Hard wind slabs can be stubborn to trigger and surprise you once you hit the weak spot.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar and/or a crust buried about 100 cm deep have produced large, widely propagating avalanches in the alpine as recently as Tuesday. These avalanches have been observed on north and south aspects and some have been remotely triggered by riders.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 3