Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 9th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Aaron Beardmore,

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Evidence of a wind slab cycle was evident on Sunday. Human triggering remains likely.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Wx models suggest there is little respite in the wind, which will generally remain in the strong range from the W/SW for the next few days. Temperatures will be slightly warmer than seasonal but the freezing level should remain below surface. A small to moderate amount of new snow (10-20cm) is expected late on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Strong wind from the SW is redistributing available snow into lee areas in both the alpine and treeline. These slabs may bond poorly to the underlying facets from the cold snap. The Dec 2 crust/facet interface is down 80-130 cm.

Avalanche Summary

Two size 2 wind slab avalanches were observed in the Bow Summit area on Sunday. Also, Massey's near Field, went size 2.5 and poured over the ice climb in the past 24 hours. Lake Louise patrollers triggered a size 2 wind slab with explosives. Please see yesterdays MIN report of the avalanche that occurred on the Dec 2 crust in the Simpson paths.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong SW wind has been loading lee areas in the alpine and tree line. This, coupled with a slight rise in temperature will increase the likelihood of human triggering.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 10th, 2022 4:00PM