Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 7th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

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Triggering large avalanches is a serious concern as illustrated in this PHOTO BLOG.

Stick to low-angle slopes, avoid overhead hazards, and choose smaller objectives.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Large and very large natural and explosive-triggered persistent slab avalanches have been reported daily over the past week (size 2 to 3.5). There have been fewer reports of human-triggered avalanches in the past few days, but all signs suggest they are still likely if travelling near steeper terrain (remote-triggered avalanches have been frequent).

The photos below show the type of terrain and typical size for these avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Surface conditions currently include sun crusts, lightly wind-affected snow, and settling powder.

A widespread crust that formed in early February is roughly 80 to 120 cm deep. Weak faceted crystals and surface hoar above this crust are contributing to large avalanches across the province.

Additionally, the lower snowpack is mostly comprised of weak and faceted layers.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Clear skies. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Friday

Mostly sunny. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloudy with 1 to 2 cm of snow. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with 1 to 4 cm of snow. 25 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
  • Avoid being on or under sun exposed slopes.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Be aware of the potential for large, destructive avalanches due to the presence of deeply buried weak layers.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Large avalanches on a 100 cm deep facet/crust layer are a serious concern. We have seen full-path avalanches, many remote-triggered. They are becoming less likely to trigger, but uncertainty and serious consequences remain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 8th, 2024 4:00PM