Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 26th, 2018 4:07PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mgrist, Avalanche Canada

Strong winds and new snow will be driving the avalanche danger to HIGH. If you see more than 30cm of new snow, avoid all avalanche terrain, free from overhead hazard.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Snow and strong winds on Tuesday; clearing up Wednesday into Thursday. TUESDAY: Snow (20-30cm). Moderate to strong south / west winds 30-70 Km/hr. Freezing level rising to 1600 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5. WEDNESDAY: Sunny with cloudy breaks and isolated convective flurries. Moderate northwest winds 20-45 Km/hr. Freezing level to 1400 metres with alpine high temperatures around -7.THURSDAY: Cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5-10 cm of new snow, increasing overnight. Moderate southwest winds 20-40 Km/hr. Freezing level 1400 metres with alpine high temperatures of -5.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, backcountry skiers triggered a size 2 wind slab on a northeast aspect near 2050m. The slab's thickness varied from 40-60cm. On Saturday we received reports of several wind slabs and storm slabs to size 2.5, mostly on northerly aspects above 2200m. Also on Saturday, a wet loose size 1.5 avalanche injured a skier in Glacier National Park on a west aspect near 2000m.

Snowpack Summary

New snow fall amounts into Monday range from 5-11 cm. Winds have been moderate south/east, creating fresh wind slabs on down wind (lee) slopes. Wind slabs from late last week (thanks to south / east winds) remained reactive throughout the weekend on immediate lee features. Isolated pockets of surface hoar (buried March 18th) have been reported between old storm snow layers on shaded aspects at higher elevations and may be found approximately 25-40 cm below the surface. New snow amounts taper with elevation and below 1800 m, reduced accumulations have buried a supportive crust on all aspects. Deeper persistent weak layers from January and December are generally considered dormant, but could wake up with a surface avalanche stepping down, large cornice fall, or a human trigger in a shallow or variable-depth snowpack area. These layers consist of sun crust, surface hoar and/or facets.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Strong winds and new snow will make for very touchy avalanche conditions. High north aspects are a particular concern due to extra loading on buried surface hoar that could lead to easier triggering and deeper releases.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with no consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Mar 27th, 2018 2:00PM

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