Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Confidence
Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Tuesday
Weather Forecast
We're back to wet spring weather on Monday, and continuing throughout the forecast period. MONDAY: Rain (10-15mm) falling mostly late in the day, with wet snow above 1500m. Winds 20-30 km/h from the south.TUESDAY: Wet snow or rain (20-30mm). Freezing level around 1500 m. Winds moderate southwesterly.WEDNESDAY: Rain (10-15mm) up to 1500m. Winds strong southerly.
Avalanche Summary
On Saturday, several small storm slabs were observed below treeline near Sky Pilot in the north of the region. See here for more details.
Snowpack Summary
Over the past several days there's been a total of 10-40 cm of new snow at elevations above 1200 m, with plenty of rain-soaked snow below. The new snow and accompanying southeast winds created slab avalanche conditions, particularly on the downwind (northerly and northeasterly) side of ridges and summits. In the Sky Pilot area near Squamish, a storm snow layer down 20cm was reported to be active on Saturday - see Avalanche Summary above for more details. Storm slab and wind slab instabilities are expected to settle rapidly with temperatures above zero during the day and refreezing overnight. Cornices remain large in some areas and could trigger large avalanches when they fail (especially when warmed by the sun, or drenched by rain). Additionally, cornices present a falling hazard and should be given a wide berth while traveling on ridgetops.
Avalanche Problems
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Loose Wet
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2