Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 18th, 2012 9:44AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Thursday: should stay cold and dry, although some areas may experience inversion conditions with warmer temps higher up. Winds will increase slightly but should stay in the moderate range, and will shift back around to the west. Friday: a storm is approaching, which will gradually increase in intensity through the day. Anticipated amounts are around 5-10 cm new snow with temperatures around -10C. Winds will shift round to the SW. Friday night will see higher snowfall amounts, in the region of 15-20 cm. On Saturday, a further 5-10 cm new snow is anticipated, with freezing levels rising to around 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Many natural loose snow avalanches were noted on Tuesday in the Coquihalla. Small soft slabs could be skier-triggered on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

30-80 cm very low density snow has accumulated over the last few days. The Coquihalla and areas around Hope have seen the highest amounts. Winds recently picked up into moderate range from the southwest - just enough to create some soft slabs on lee slopes in exposed areas. Below the storm snow lies a rain crust at lower elevations (up to around 1800 m) and old wind slabs in exposed areas at higher elevations. Weak layers lower in the snowpack have generally ceased to be of concern, except perhaps in thin rocky areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Shifting winds have started to redistribute the low density snow into soft slabs on lee features in exposed terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry
Loose, dry new snow can sluff easily in steep ground. It could trip you up or push you into a terrain trap.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 19th, 2012 8:00AM