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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 27th, 2017–Feb 28th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Danger will increase throughout the week with new snow and strong winds in the forecast. Watch for fresh wind slabs at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Cloudy with flurries starting in the afternoon, moderate west winds with strong gusts, alpine temperatures around -12 C.WEDNESDAY: Continued flurries with 5-15 cm of new snow, moderate west winds with strong gusts, alpine temperatures around -8 C.THURSDAY: Another 10 cm of new snow, strong southwest winds, alpine temperatures around -6 C.

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, small avalanches in the new snow were reported including natural and skier triggered size 1 wind slabs on a variety of aspects. Sluffing in steep terrain was widespread. A few size 2 natural avalanches were also reported in alpine terrain, potentially releasing on the mid-February interface 30-40 cm deep. Winds will pick up again on Tuesday and form fresh wind slabs.

Snowpack Summary

Recent flurries delivered 10-20 cm with some moderate winds forming thin wind slabs on a variety of aspects at higher elevations. The new snow has buried a sun crust and spotty surface hoar layer and will sluff easily in steep terrain. The the mid-February interface is now buried 30-50 cm deep, and is composed of a thick rain crust up to about 1800 m, sun crusts on steep solar aspects, and spotty surface hoar on shaded aspects. This layer could develop into a persistent slab problem once the snow above it settles into a stiffer slab. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and stable.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch for fresh wind slabs in the immediate lee of ridges and crossloaded alpine terrain.
Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2