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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 6th, 2013–Apr 7th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Purcells.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: A much drier pattern is in place through Tuesday afternoon.Sunday: Freezing Level: 1900m Precip: No significant precip expected. Wind: Light, South.Monday: Freezing Level: 1500m. Precip: 1/3mm – 2/6cm Wind: Light, South.Tuesday: Freezing Level: 1800m Precip: No significant precip. Wind: Light, SW

Avalanche Summary

Loose snow avalanches to size 1.5 from steep solar aspects.  Previous natural loose wet avalanches up to size 2.5 during periods of intense solar radiation.

Snowpack Summary

At upper elevations 15-30cm of new snow is covering a crust or moist snow. In some places in the alpine and at treeline this new snow may have buried a recently formed layer of surface hoar or facets. At lower elevations (below 2000m) rain has made the snow surface wet or moist down 50-100cm. New snow combined with wind will has made large cornices even bigger.The March 10th surface hoar/crust interface is buried more than 100cm in most places. Although unlikely to trigger, this deep persistent weakness remains a concern because of the potential for very large avalanches particularly with heavy triggers such as cornice falls or lighter triggers on solar aspects where the crust is more prevalent. Below this the snowpack is strong and well settled.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow and wind have created wind slabs in the lee of terrain features.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Loose Wet

With little re-freezing overnight, loose wet avalanches will run on solar aspects if there is rain falling or even short periods of intense solar radiation. Wet slab avalanches are also possible.
Avoid travelling on slopes which are becoming wet due to rain, warm temperatures, or sun.>Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Cornices

Natural cornice falls are a concern during daytime warming. Cornices may also be triggered easily by traveling near them.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5