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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 11th, 2016–Apr 12th, 2016
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: South Columbia.

Spring Conditions. Forecast cloud cover, cooler air temperatures, and dropping freezing levels will all contribute to decrease the likelihood and size of avalanches. Avoid slopes that do not develop a solid crust overnight.

Weather Forecast

High cloud developing overnight with freezing levels dipping down to 2000 metres by morning. Mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday morning, becoming cloudy with moderate southwest winds in the afternoon. Freezing levels dropping to 1500 metres by Wednesday morning with moderate southwest winds and 5-10 cm of new snow above 1500 metres. Cloudy with light winds during the day on Wednesday. Mix of sun and cloud on Thursday with overnight freezing down to 1300 metres.

Avalanche Summary

One natural size 3.0 avalanche was reported from a southeast aspect in the alpine that released at 2700 metres and ran about 1000 metres; this occurred in the southern Selkirks on Sunday. Most commercial operations have closed for the season, and data is becoming sparse.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface is currently going through a typical spring melt-freeze cycle on all aspects and at all elevations, except possibly high true-north slopes which could be holding onto cold snow. A moist/wet, isothermal, and rapidly melting snowpack exists on all aspects below around 1500 m and probably even higher on solar aspects. The strength (thickness) of the surface crust and how quickly it breaks down during the day are important factors to focus on.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanche activity is expected to decrease with forecast cloud cover and descending freezing levels. Watch for slopes that do not re-freeze overnight.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Cornices

The likelihood of natural cornice falls will drop as the cloud cover increases and the freezing levels drop.
Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.>Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Wet Slabs

Wet slab avalanche activity is expected to decrease with forecast cloud cover and descending freezing levels. Watch for slopes that do not re-freeze overnight.
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches.>Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 3 - 6