Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 15th, 2019–Dec 16th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Little Yoho.

Basal facets, crusts and depth hoar are found in many places. Use caution if you're heading into committing terrain, as it's a bit of a gamble whether you will trigger a slope, these layers are hard to predict.

Weather Forecast

A gradual increase in wind values beginning Sunday afternoon will result in sustain strong winds at upper elevations. Wi will likely see an increase in cloud cover Monday and light precipitation by Tuesday. A slight warming trend will begin early Monday with valley bottom temperatures climbing to the negative single digits.

Snowpack Summary

Pockets of wind slab linger in alpine areas. Beneath the recent 40-60cm of storm snow, the snowpack structure is generally weak, consisting of facets and depth hoar. The Nov crust is present up to 2500m and ~30 cm up from ground. In areas with a deeper snowpack (Tak Falls, Stanley Mitchell, Ogden, etc.) the basal weakness is less pronounced.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity observed or reported Sunday.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The recent snow sits over weak facet and crust layers. As time goes on the chance of triggering is becoming less likely, but there is lots of uncertainty as to where you could trigger an avalanche and what it will take to get it moving.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Variable wind slab development is present mainly in the alpine but also in some wind exposed treeline features. These are losing sensitivity to human triggering but will need a few days to settle out completely.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created slabs over weaker snow.
  • Caution on open steep slopes at treeline that have been exposed to wind loading.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2