Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Dogtooth, East Purcell, Purcells, West Purcell.
Start your day early and watch the crust closely.
As it breaks down, reduce your exposure to avalanche terrain.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
On Wednesday, there were a few small wet loose avalanches from slopes facing the sun.
Observations are very limited at this time of year.
Snowpack Summary
A crust is likely on the surface everywhere except northerly aspects in the alpine where around 15 cm of recent soft snow may still be preserved.
While weak layers lower in the snowpack have been a concern throughout the season, the current lack of avalanche activity and benign weather suggest they are not a concern at this time. They could become problematic again this spring as the temperature rises.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Clear skies. 10 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.
Friday
Mix of sun and clouds. 10 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 6 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.
Saturday
Mix of sun and clouds. 5 to 10 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.
Sunday
Mix of sun and clouds. 5 to 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
- Avalanche danger will increase as the surface crust breaks down.
- Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
Avalanche Problems
Loose Wet
Wet loose avalanches will become more likely as the sun and warmth affect the snowpack. Start early, and avoid the hottest part of the day.
Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Cornices
Cornices are more likely to fail during warm weather.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5