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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 23rd, 2015–Jan 24th, 2015
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

We are in a period of rising avalanche hazard. As the new snow arrives with strong winds and warming temperatures, minimize your exposure to cornices or large start zones, and expect sluffing out of steep terrain.

Weather Forecast

Snow has started to fall in the Western areas of the region. We expect 10-15cm overnight. The next several days will have light to moderate precipitation, strong to extreme West winds, and warming temperatures with freezing levels hovering around the 2000m level from late Saturday afternoon to Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs exist in alpine areas. The snowpack in the Emerald Lake and Mt Field area is about 130cm deep, with the main weakness being the Dec 18 surface hoar down 50cm. This layer continues to produce moderate to hard results, but the layer is not found in all areas. We suspect some bonding is occurring with this layer, but remain careful.

Avalanche Summary

No natural avalanches observed in the last 48hrs. Forecasters on Mt. Field on Jan 21st experienced large whumpfs in an open area at 1850m indicating the deeper layers may still be reactive to human triggering in some areas.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

With the new snow and strong W winds, wind slabs are forming in open areas above tree line. These may fail naturally in some locations and are likely to be skier triggered in steep terrain so avoid freshly wind loaded areas.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The Dec 18 surface hoar continues to be found 50cm down, but the layer is slowly bonding to the overlying snow. Regardless, this layer is still present and should be considered carefully especially as we experience warming temps and additional load.

  • Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
  • Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3