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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 26th, 2016–Jan 27th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Mt Hood.

At Mt Hood the main problem should continue to be loose wet avalanches on Wednesday. Watch for wet surface snow deeper than a few inches and pinwheels or roller balls that usually precede loose wet avalanches.

Detailed Forecast

A break between frontal systems should be seen during the daylight hours at Mt Hood on Wednesday with continued mild temperatures.

The main problem should continue to be loose wet avalanches on Wednesday. Watch for wet surface snow deeper than a few inches and pinwheels or roller balls that usually precede loose wet avalanches. This may be most likely on non solar slopes holding loose snow but will be indicated on all aspects. Solar effects or sun breaks should increase the chance of loose wet avalanches.

Previous wind slab in the mainly above treeline may be loaded and weakened by wet surface snow. This avalanche problem may be getting unlikely but watch for signs of previous firmer transported snow mainly on northwest to southeast aspects.

 

Snowpack Discussion

A warm front last Thursday caused heavy rain on the volcanoes but with lighter rain at Mt Hood. This caused an avalanche cycle and consolidation along the Cascade west slopes and Mt Hood.

This was followed by cooler weather and some snow. NWAC stations at Mt Hood indicate about 6-9 inches for the 2 days ending Sunday morning.

The Mt Hood Meadows pro patrol Sunday near tree line reported isolated 2-6 inch storm slabs released by ski cuts on lee N-NE slopes. A stable surface crust was reported below tree line.

The Mt Hood Meadows pro patrol Monday reported some roller balls on solar slopes but no avalanches. There was about 6-8 inches of loose snow on non solar slopes in the near and above treeline.

A weakening front is crossing the Northwest today with high snow levels and rain in most areas.

The Mt Hood Meadows pro patrol today reported no avalanches but that ski triggered loose wet avalanches were possible in all the elevations bands.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. They generally move slowly, but can contain enough mass to cause significant damage to trees, cars or buildings. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

 

Travel when the snow surface is colder and stronger. Plan your trips to avoid crossing on or under very steep slopes in the afternoon. Move to colder, shadier slopes once the snow surface turns slushly. Avoid steep, sunlit slopes above terrain traps, cliffs areas and long sustained steep pitches.

 

Several loose wet avalanches, and lots of pinwheels and roller balls.

Loose wet avalanches occur where water is running through the snowpack, and release at or below the trigger point. Avoid terrain traps such as cliffs, gullies, or tree wells. Exit avalanche terrain when you see pinwheels, roller balls, a slushy surface, or during rain-on-snow events.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1

Wind Slabs

Release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

 

Wind Slabs form in specific areas, and are confined to lee and cross-loaded terrain features. They can be avoided by sticking to sheltered or wind-scoured areas..

 

Wind Slab avalanche. Winds blew from left to right. The area above the ridge has been scoured, and the snow drifted into a wind slab on the slope below.

 

Wind slabs can take up to a week to stabilize. They are confined to lee and cross-loaded terrain features and can be avoided by sticking to sheltered or wind scoured areas.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 1 - 1