Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 23rd, 2016 7:40AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada esharp, Avalanche Canada

In the North of the region avalanche danger in the alpine is likely to be Considerable due to the presence of a recently reactive layer of facets near the ground.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY: flurries overnight partly cloudy through the day, moderate southwesterly winds, -4 to -6C at 1500m. THURSDAY: flurries, moderate to strong southwesterly winds, 800m freezing level 800m. FRIDAY: light snow overnight and through the day (up to 10cm possible), moderate southerly winds, freezing level between 1200m and 1500m.

Avalanche Summary

Isolated wind slab avalanches were reported over the last couple of days. In the north of the region, a small natural avalanche that stepped down to the early January surface hoar on Sunday is a good reminder that this layer needs to remain a concern. Deeply buried persistent weak layers in the alpine also woke up in the north of the region over the weekend when several large avalanches released on basal facets. This weak layer was reported to be reactive to skier triggering from thin spots, as well as heavy triggers such as a smaller avalanches or cornice failures.

Snowpack Summary

Alpine areas are reported to be widely wind effected with wind pressed surfaces found in exposed areas and a mixture of hard and soft slabs present in lee features. A thin crust may cap moist snow at or just below the surface at lower elevations and on slopes that see direct sun. The upper snow pack is reported to be bonding well to a crust buried on February 12th, now 40 to 80cm down, that extends up to around 2000m. The early January surface hoar can be typically be found between 60 and 140cm down.  Although it is getting harder to trigger this layer it remains a concern.  Shallow snowpack areas also have a weak base layer of facetted snow just above the ground.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Reactive slabs may be found on isolated wind loaded alpine and treeline features.
Be aware of the potential for wide propagations due to the presence of hard windslabs.>Be alert to conditions that change with elevation. >

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
A layer of buried surface hoar remains a low probability high consequence concern. Large avalanches can be triggered from thin spots or by heavy loads such as a cornice release or smaller avalanche.
Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.>Be aware of the potential for large, widely propagating avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

3 - 6

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs
Large avalanches have recently released on facets at or near the ground north of Bell2.  This is probably a problem confined to the north of the region where the snowpack is thinner.
Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

3 - 5

Valid until: Feb 24th, 2016 2:00PM