Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Overnight and Tuesday: Some Pacific moisture (3-5 cm) is expected to push into the Northern coastal areas and then slide inland. Mostly overcast with light precipitation, cold alpine temperatures, and moderate to strong Southwest winds. Freezing levels at about 500 metres.Wednesday: Overcast with light precipitation and light winds. Freezing level about 500 metres and alpine temperatures around -15.Thursday: Overcast with a chance of sunny breaks in the afternoon. Light Easterly winds and temperatures around -15 in the alpine.

No new reports of avalanches since the Silverking involvement on Saturday. The storm slab continues to be a concern for triggering from light additional loads. Long fracture propagations and triggering from adjacent terrain are likely.

There has been 40 - 65 cm of new snow in the past week in parts of the forecast region. That, combined with strong winds, continues to build wind slabs in lee terrain and increase the depth of the storm slab that overlies the persistent weak layers. A rain crust has formed at lower elevations, typically below 1200 metres. Solar aspects have been reported to be moist to ridgetops, and may have a crust with new snow on top of it. The March weak layer is a combination of wind pressed snow, facets and/or surface hoar in sheltered and north aspects, and sun crust on steep solar aspects and is widespread throughout the forecast region. this layer is now buried well over a metre in some parts of the region. A late January/early February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is still showing up in snowpack tests with moderate to hard shear tests. This layer will be with us for a long time, and a slide triggered on this layer could be very large and destructive.