Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 19th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs, Deep Persistent Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeUse caution when transitioning into wind-affected terrain.
Stick to thick snowpack areas where you are less likely to trigger deep weak layers.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A size 2 cornice avalanche was reported on Saturday. It occurred naturally in the alpine on a northwest aspect. It did not trigger the slope below.
On Friday, a few solar-triggered loose dry avalanches were reported in the region to size 2. A natural size 2.5 wind slab, likely triggered by the sun, was observed on a southwest aspect at 2500 m.
Explosives control triggered a deep persistent slab avalanche, size 2.5, on an east aspect at 2350 m.
Snowpack Summary
The top layer of the snowpack is made up of wind-affected snow in exposed areas and low-density snow in sheltered areas. This top layer sits on top of a varied of surfaces that include more wind-affected snow, facetted snow, and a thin sun crust. A sun crust is found on the surface of solar slopes at all elevations.
Buried surface hoar can be found 70 to 90 cm deep in sheltered terrain features. A thin sun crust exists at the same depth on steep south-facing terrain.
The lower snowpack is made up of a widespread layer of large, weak facets and/or depth hoar crystals. This weak layer has been responsible for a number of recent very large, destructive avalanches and will continue to be a concern.
Weather Summary
Sunday Night
Clear, no accumulation, winds east 25 km/h, treeline temperatures -3 to 0 °C.
Monday
A mix of sun and cloud, no accumulation, winds northeast 20 km/h, treeline temperatures around -5 °C freezing levels to 1700 m.
Tuesday
Sunny with cloudy periods, no accumulation, winds northeast 10 to 20 km/h, freezing level reaching 1700 m.
Wednesday
Sunny, no accumulation, winds northeast 20 km/h, freezing level reaching 2000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Minimize exposure to sun-exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.
- Avoid areas with a thin or variable snowpack.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Southwest wind has redistributed last week's snow at higher elevations.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
The base of the snowpack remains very weak. Very large human triggered avalanches are possible at treeline and above. Avoid thin, rocky start zones and shallow areas with variable snowpack where you are most likely to trigger this layer.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Numerous weak layers from January and February exist at all elevations on a variety of aspects. On shaded slopes, these layers generally present as surface hoar, and on sun-exposed slopes they present as facets and a crust.
Be aware these layers can be remotely triggered (from a distance).
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 20th, 2023 4:00PM