Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 15th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Cornices and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada JSmith, Avalanche Canada

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Sustained warming continues to increase the likelihood for large cornice failures and wet loose avalanches. Start early and plan to be off large slopes before the heat of the day.

Check out the latest Forecaster's Blog for more information on managing current conditions.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to how the snowpack will react to the forecast weather.

Weather Forecast

  

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear / Light, southeast ridgetop wind / alpine low temperature 4 / Freezing level 3000 m.

FRIDAY: Sunny / Light, south ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature 9 / Freezing level 3000 m.

SATURDAY: Sunny / Light, southwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature 8 / Freezing level 3000 m.

SUNDAY: Sunny / Moderate, east ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature 2 / Freezing level dropping to 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Warm sunny weather this week will cause wet loose avalanches and cornice failures.

Numerous naturally triggered wet loose avalanches up to size 3 and cornice failures to size 2.5 were reported on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

Lingering wind slabs may still be reactive in isolated locations on steep northerly aspects in the alpine. All other terrain is undergoing a melt-freeze cycle with successive days of warm sunny weather. 

Strong solar radiation and warming will likely trigger the large cornices that hang over ridgelines. Cornice falls could trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

The snowpack is overall strong and settled in most areas, however, sustained warming can increase the likelihood of large avalanches failing on deeply buried weak layers.This is most likely to occur on steep, rocky alpine slopes with a shallow or thin to thick snowpack.

Glide cracks releasing as full depth glide slab avalanches become more common in the spring and are extremely difficult to predict. Best practice is to avoid slopes with glide cracks.

Terrain and Travel

  • Extra caution is needed around cornices under the current conditions.
  • Avoid exposure to slopes that have cornices overhead.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Strong solar radiation and warming will likely trigger the large cornices that hang over ridgelines. Cornice falls could trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Expect natural wet loose avalanches to occur on solar aspects when the sun comes out.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Apr 16th, 2021 4:00PM