Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 10th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs may remain sensitive to triggering Sunday. The sun can pack a punch at this time of year and the new snow will be particularly sensitive to it. Be ready to back off sunny slopes before the snow surface is moist or wet.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure sets up over the province. Freezing levels are forecast to steadily rise through the week.

Saturday night: Clearing. Wind easing to light northwest. Alpine temperature around -12. Freezing level valley bottom.

Sunday: Mix of sun and cloud. Light northeast wind. Alpine temperature around -7. Freezing level 1400 m.

Monday: Mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate northeast wind. Alpine temperature around -5. Freezing level 1600 m.

Tuesday: Mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate northeast wind. Alpine temperature around -6. Freezing level 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Wind slabs have shown quite limited reactivity in the last couple of days, a few natural and ski cut size 1-1.5 were observed on Saturday. On Friday, most activity in the recent snow was limited to loose dry sluffing.

A couple of natural cornice failures size 2.5 observed Thursday did not trigger slabs on slopes below.

Neighboring Glacier National Park reported a few very large (size 3-4) glide slab releases on Thursday. Glide slabs are hard to predict and can release at any time so it is important to avoid slopes with glide cracks.

On Tuesday, a natural size 3.5 wet slab was reported from an S-SW aspect at 2500 m to 1800 m along with numerous wet loose avalanches up to size 1. We can expect more activity like this in the heat next week.

Snowpack Summary

20-40 cm of recent snow may have formed pockets of wind slab on leeward slopes and behind terrain features. On North aspects in the alpine, the recent snow sits on dry wintery snow surfaces and possibly surface hoar on wind-sheltered slopes. Elsewhere, it sits on a series of melt-freeze crusts on all aspects below 1900 m and southerly aspects to mountain top. Reports indicate snow is bonding well at these interfaces.

The recent warm weather is expected to have helped old persistent weak layers heal, including a few crusts buried over the last month as well as a facet layer 150 cm deep from the mid-February cold snap.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
  • Brief periods of sun could quickly initiate natural avalanche activity.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent snow and wind have formed wind slabs in immediate lees of ridge crests and roll-overs at upper elevations. They may remain sensitive to triggering Sunday.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are especially fragile this time of year. Cornice falls are dangerous in their own right and they can also trigger slabs on slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 11th, 2021 4:00PM