Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 28th, 2019 8:03AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Percy Woods, Parks Canada

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The Winter Permit System is now in place, keep this in mind in your trip planning.  Cold temperatures and short days , plan accordingly.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A cold clear day is forecast with continued North through East winds bringing arctic air into the forecast area.  No precipitation is forecasted and freezing levels will stay well below valley bottom. It will be cold and clear tonight and right through to the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

Strong Northerly winds have redistribute last weekend's storm snow on alpine and treeline lee features, caution, reverse loading. Cold temperatures should soften former surface slabs in protected areas. The 2 main layers to watch for are the Nov 23rd Surface Hoar, buried 30-50-cm, and the Nov 17th interface.

Avalanche Summary

Limited natural avalanche activity observed yesterday, one size 1.5 slab release in Lone Pine in the highway corridor. Sunday's storm produced a decent natural avalanche cycle to size 3 in Rogers Pass. Avalanche activity has tapered off since the end storm.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Look for freshly formed windslab in the immediate lee of ridgelines on S through W aspects in the Alpine and Treeline.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Have an eye for reverse loading from North through East moderate winds.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

40cm of snow fell over the weekend burying a weak surface hoar (SH) layer. Cold temperatures should decrease the slab properties above the SH layer; however, this layer is still not to be trusted, and groups should manage their exposure accordingly.

  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Nov 29th, 2019 8:00AM