Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 16th, 2024 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include⚠️ Continue to avoid avalanche terrain and exposure to overhead hazard⚠️
Natural avalanches are expected as heat continues to weaken the snowpack.
Summary
Confidence
High
Avalanche Summary
Wet avalanche activity was observed on Thursday, up to size 2.5. Avalanches were only observed in the recent storm snow and not reported to have stepped down to the buried weak layers.
Check out this MIN report from Zupjok on Thursday.
Continued activity is expected - with possible persistent slabs, widespread loose wet avalanches, and cornice failures as warming persists.
Weather Summary
Saturday Night
Clear skies. 20km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Freezing level remains above 3000 m.
Sunday
Sunny. 20 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +7 °C with freezing level at 3300 m.
Monday
Sunny. 20 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +7 °C with freezing levels remaining above 3000 m.
Tuesday
Sunny. 20-40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +6 °C with freezing levels falling to 2500 m over the day.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain as temperatures increase.
- Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.
- Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.
- If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
We have had no reports of persistent slab activity since last weekend. Concern still exists for the possibility of natural avalanches on this layer with the warm temperatures and sunshine. If triggered, large avalanches are expected
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Wet
Continued wet loose/slab activity is expected within the surface snow as warming continues and the snowpack has little chance to refreeze overnight. Greatest concern is for sun affected slopes.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 17th, 2024 4:00PM