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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 28th, 2023–Mar 1st, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The recent snow is providing good skiing in low avalanche hazard areas. Human triggering of wind slabs is still a concern. Conservative route selection is advised.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported today.

Snowpack Summary

We have had 10-15cm of recent snow that has not yet been touched by the wind. This sits on top of two generations of wind slabs: the Feb26 wind slab from this past week's wind event and the Feb. 19 wind slab which is about 30cm down. A test profile near Burstall Pass showed easy resistant planar results on the Feb 19 wind slab. The alpine is still quite variable in terms of snow depth; in deeper areas the mid-pack is strong. The November facets make up the bottom 50-70cm of the snowpack and there is anywhere from 40-110cm sitting on top of it depending on elevation. Our biggest concern is triggering the wind slab which then has a high potential to step down to the November basal layer. Good skiing can still be found in low avalanche hazard areas at all elevations. The wind slabs have slowly started to bond with the other interfaces but there is still a concern for human triggering.

Weather Summary

Wednesday will bring cloudy skies with light flurries(2cm if you round up). Temperatures in the alpine will climb to a high of -10c. Winds will start off Light from the West and increase to Strong from the West throughout the day

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

There are 2 generations of wind slabs below the recent snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

The alpine is still variable in total amounts of snow but the basal layers haven't changed. The entire lower half is either facets, or depth hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5