Avalanche Forecast

High -

SUNDAY: Sunny in the morning then clouding over around noon, light south wind, alpine temperature around -5 C.MONDAY: Isolated flurries with 3-5 cm of snow, light southwest wind, alpine temperature around -5 C.TUESDAY: Scattered flurries with another 2-4 cm, moderate southwest wind, alpine temperature around -5 C.

On Friday, small storm slabs were reactive to skier traffic on convex and wind loaded northerly aspects. Numerous size 1 avalanches were triggered in the top 20-30 cm of snow. Cornice failures were reported on a daily basis earlier in the week, with about one per day triggering a large slab on weak layers up to 2 m deep.On Sunday, morning sun is a potential trigger for cornice falls and deeper weak layers. Read the forecasters blog (here) for advice on how to manage this low probability, high consequence scenario and check out the accompanying photos (here). Also expect the recent snow to settle into a slab that will be most reactive at higher elevations, especially in wind loaded terrain and on steep convexities.

20-50 cm of new snow overlies a rain crust below around 2000 m or a sun crust on solar aspects at higher elevations. Alpine wind has recently been strong mainly from south through west directions and has loaded leeward slopes in exposed terrain at treeline and in the alpine. Large cornices are also reported on northerly aspects in the alpine. The rain crust which formed last week is now down 50-60 cm and generally seems to be well bonded to the surrounding snow. The February weak layers are down 120-150 cm and woke up during the recent storm cycle with many avalanches stepping down. The deep mid-December facet layer and November rain crust both still linger near the bottom of the snowpack and a few avalanches and cornice falls have stepped down to these layers recently resulting in very large avalanches.