Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 3rd, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada MBender, Avalanche Canada

Email

It seems like it is still winter and the snow keeps coming steadily. Expect to see a bit of new snow accumulate through the end of the weekend along with wind blowing from the southwest then northwest. Wind slabs at upper elevations are the main concern.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries, accumulation 3-10 cm. Light to moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 500 m. Alpine temperature -7.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered flurries, accumulation 3-5 cm. Moderate southwest switching to northwest wind. Freezing level 1400 m. Alpine temperature -4.

Monday: Mostly cloudy. Moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Alpine temperature -2. 

Tuesday: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Light to moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 1400 m. Alpine temperature -4. 

Avalanche Summary

There are no recent reports of avalanche activity, although with recent snow and wind there is likely natural wind slab activity at upper elevations.

Evidence of large storm slab avalanches (size 3) was observed Monday and Tuesday between Sentinel Pass and Chetwynd, likely having released during the storm on the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

10-40 cm of recent snow earlier in the week has been redistributed by strong southwest to northwest wind with wind slabs possible on many aspects and large, fragile cornices along ridgetops. This snow sits on melt freeze crusts at lower elevations and on solar aspects. 

A weak layer of facets buried in mid-February may now be found around 120 to 150 cm deep, or shallower in the east of the region and in thin snowpack areas. The most likely place to trigger this layer is where the snowpack is shallow in alpine terrain. Large loads, such a cornice falls or multiple sleds on the same slope often trigger slopes that a single rider couldn't trigger on their own.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Be aware of highly variable recent wind loading patterns.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Flurries bringing small amounts of new snow will feed fresh wind slab development. Variable wind direction has resulted in deep pockets of recent storm snow on a variety of aspects. These older wind slabs are likely becoming more difficult to trigger.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The persistent slab problem is most likely on the eastern slopes of the region (e.g., Kakwa, Tumbler Ridge) and in areas where the snowpack is thin. Steep, rocky slopes with a shallow or thin to thick snowpack in the alpine are the most likely places to trigger buried weak layers. This problem likely won't go away until a substantial melt-freeze cycling occurs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 5th, 2021 4:00PM