Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 21st, 2012 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs, Storm Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions
Weather Forecast
Thursday: Cloudy with flurries - 2-5cm on average with more possible in the southeast corner. The freezing level rises to around 800-1000m during the day. Winds are light and variable. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level staying low near 800m. Winds remain light. Saturday: Mainly sunny and milder with the freezing level jumping to 1500m. Winds are light from the southeast.
Avalanche Summary
Currently the Coquihalla highway is closed for avalanche control. Areas north of Pemberton reported several skier controlled avalanches up to Size 1.5 within the recent storm snow (15-25cm crowns) on Tuesday. There was also one report of a larger avalanche in the South Chilcotin that may have failed on the mid-Feb persistent weakness.
Snowpack Summary
Conditions vary greatly throughout the region. Southeast areas (Coquihalla) have seen up to 60cm of new snow in the past 48 hours, while places like the Duffy Lake have seen considerably less. Expect new wind slabs to be deep in heavy snowfall areas and thin in other areas. Crusts down around 60cm can be found on solar aspects in the Duffey Lake, Chilcotin, and down closer to 1m in the Coquihalla. These exhibit moderate to hard, sudden results in snowpack tests. Deeper persistent weak layers are variable in distribution across the region. A crust/surface hoar/facet layer buried in early February, now down about 1.5m, is still is a key concern. It is especially prevalent on south-facing slopes above treeline, and all slopes below treeline. Although the likelihood of triggering this layer has decreased, the potential for surprisingly large avalanches remains. Cornices are reported to be very large and should be given a wide berth.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 22nd, 2012 9:00AM