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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 10th, 2015–Mar 11th, 2015
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Heavy snowfall and high winds are driving the hazard at this time, conservative terrain choices are important during this storm cycle

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

A Pacific low will deliver another round of moderate snowfall beginning Wednesday and continuing into next weekend. Strong southwesterly winds will accompany the incoming precipitation . Freezing levels will stay around the 1500M mark , but drop to around 500m on Wednesday, then rise again to 1500m for the rest of the storm cycle.

Avalanche Summary

There has been little avalanche activity reported given the amount of new snow from the last storm. Size 1 skier triggered wind slabs have been reported in high elevation lee terrain. Incoming precipitation will change things up and may spark another round of natural storm slab activity.

Snowpack Summary

The previous storm accompanied by strong southwest winds built dense slabs on exposed lee features. Incoming precipitation will add additional load to the storm slab. Below this there are a variety of interfaces including old hard wind slabs, hard crusts, surface hoar, and/or surface facets. Reports suggest a reasonable bonds at these interfaces, although we remain cautious of steeper, high-consequence slopes, as a release on these recently buried surfaces could be large and destructive .At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be found, particularly on shallow alpine slopes in the north of the region. Cornices are becoming large and potentially unstable.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent snowfall and strong winds have built reactive storm slabs. Watch for increased reactivity  with new snow loading in high-elevation lee terrain.
Choose conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Stay well back from cornices.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4