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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 6th, 2012–Mar 7th, 2012
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Glacier.

The snowpack will take time to adjust to the load delivered by the storm. Due to a variety of problems all slopes are suspect and capable of producing large avalanches. Several layers are teetering on the edge of failure and you may tip the balance.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Since Friday, over 1m of snow has fallen. Temps rose through the storm forming a cohesive "upside down" slab, with moist snow below 1500m. Temps dropped overnight, tightening this slab and forming a crust at lower elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Persistent Slabs

The Feb surface hoar layers are over 1.5m deep. Overloaded by the storm they produced very large avalanches. Avalanches are stepping down to these layers. Cornices have grown, will be brittle with the rapid drop in temps, and provide large triggers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Wind Slabs

Strong S winds produced windslabs and deep drifts on open slopes at all elevations. Windloading has rapidly increased the load on persistent weak layers, which will take time to adjust. The weight of a skier may be all they need to avalanche.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3