Afternoon cloud reduced the effects of the sun yesterday. Today should be mostly sunny- which will increase danger. Cornices are the biggest concern right now; they are large and weak, and likely to fail with the strong sun.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Lots of sun, warming temperatures, and calm to light SW winds are expected today and Monday. High cloud may form this afternoon and reduce solar inputs. Solar aspects, starting with easterly in the mornings, will receive strong solar. By Monday, air temps will be closer to 0'C and the effects of the sun will be greater. Clouds will increase on Tues
Snowpack Summary
Cool temps and clouds have reduced solar effects; a sun crust has formed only on steep, solar aspects. Elsewhere, 25cm of dry snow exists above 1400m. Tests on two surface hoar/crust layers in the top 1.5m indicate that they may be triggered by large loads (like cornices) in some areas (most likely on solar aspects). The snowpack below is strong.
Avalanche Summary
Natural avalanches were triggered during sunny breaks yesterday. 7 size 2 to 2.5 avalanches were observed mid day from solar aspects. Many were loose, with moist debris and a few triggered slabs. Very large cornice failures were reported throughout the Selkirks yesterday. One cornice failure was reported to be 120m long and triggered a size 4!
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain