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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 18th, 2018–Feb 19th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Strong winds have created very touchy wind slabs. Be cautious in terrain features where snow has accumulated, as the slabs will likely be easy to trigger.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Partly cloudy with increasing cloudiness, moderate northwesterly winds, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level below valley bottom.TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, light to moderate northerly winds, alpine temperature near -10 C, freezing level below valley bottom.WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny, moderate to strong northerly winds, alpine temperature near -9 C, freezing level below valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

Many small to large (size 1 to 2) wind slabs were reported on Saturday in steep alpine and cross loaded terrain.  They were reported to have released naturally and by skiers due to rapid wind loading from strong northeasterly winds.Avalanche activity may slow down with a period of cold, clear weather expected to persist well into the week, unless the sun is powerful enough to warm the snow surface. Watch for steep sunny slopes due to the sun’s influence, lee features for reactive wind slabs, and be extra cautious near thin spots and shallow snow pack areas where triggering a deeper weak layer is more likely.

Snowpack Summary

Northerly to easterly winds have created stiff wind slabs on leeward slopes and scoured wind-exposed slopes at all elevations.Deeper in the snowpack, a crust and/or weak surface hoar layer buried in mid-January now lies about 60 to 100 cm below the surface. The crust exists well into the alpine and the surface hoar can be found in sheltered areas in lower alpine and tree line elevations. Snowpack tests have produced hard, sudden results on weak, sugary snow crystals associated with this crust in the Smithers area, indicating that this is still a layer of concern.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong to extreme winds have produced stiff and touchy wind slabs in lee and cross-loaded features. These slabs will be reactive to both natural and human triggers.
Be cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain; avoid lee and cross-loaded featuresUse ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind-loaded snow.If triggered, wind slabs may step down to deeper layers, resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Several weak layers are lurking in our snowpack. They will be more easily triggered where the snowpack is shallow.
Be aware of the potential for wide propagation.Minimize overhead exposure, as avalanches could run for long distances.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5