Avalanche Forecast

High -

Winds are forecast to increase overnight into the strong range before easing on Sunday morning with the arrival of the cold front.  Temperatures will begin to drop, and we may see a bit of snow as a weak upslope storm moves through the region. 

Avalanche control work today on Mt Buller produced slides up to sz 3 with fracture depths up to 1.5m.  A few isolated natural avalanches up to sz 2 were observed in the north part of the forecast area but field observations in the southern areas were limited.  Tell us what you are seeing at [email protected] or via messenger on facebook.

Winds and temperatures are causing the upper snowpack to settle.  As it settles we are beginning to see natural avalanche activity begin to decrease but conditions are perfect for human triggerring.  Wind slabs should be expected in the upper snowpack in the Alpine and isolated areas at treeline.  These slabs are up to 40cm thick and on all aspects due to reverse loading.  Any slab that initiates in the upper snowpack is likely to step down to any one of the lower wear layers.  These layers include the Jan 18th and 6th surface hoar layers down being found below 2400m down around 1m+ and the Dec15th facet interface down 150cm being found all the way up and into the alpine.  Stick to conservative terrain and minimize your exposure to overhead areas.