Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Kananaskis.
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
The storm is expected to taper tonight. By tomorrow there will be mostly cloudy skies with a few early morning flurries. Alpine winds will continue to be in the moderate to high range. Temperatures will be slightly cooler tomorrow with a daytime high of -8 to -10.
Avalanche Summary
Only 1 sz2 slab was noted today on a north facing alpine area. Poor visibility prevented a good look around. It is safe to say that there is a widespread cycle ongoing in the alpine, with a specific cycle at treeline. Wind prone areas at treeline are suspect.
Snowpack Summary
As of this afternoon, the storm has left 25cm of settled snow at 2250m. This puts the total treeline snow depth to 120cm. So far the winds haven't touched the lower treeline area, but the upper treeline and alpine areas have seen a fair bit of wind and widespread slabs. The deeper instabilities (Dec 10 and Oct 26) are very pronounced and basically make up the entire bottom third. The exact burial depth of this interface will vary depending on aspect (wind loading) and elevation. The trick with this snowpack will be identifying where there is a wind slab or not. Once the storm snow has "slabbed" up expect things to become very touchy. Avalanches stepping down and/or entraining loose snow are probable.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3