Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 15th, 2019 5:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeNew snow, wind, and rising temperatures - best to stick to conservative terrain even if the sun pokes out mid-day.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system. We are confident the snowpack will rapidly lose strength with the arrival of the forecast weather.
Weather Forecast
Sunday Night: Periods of snow, 10-20 cm accumulating overnight. Alpine temperature -6 C and rising into Monday. Southwest wind 30-40 km/hr.
Monday: Snow, 15-25 cm accumulating by the end of the day. Alpine temperatures reaching 0 C. South wind 30 gusting to 60 km/hr. Freezing level 1100 m.
Tuesday: Heavy snow, 25-45 cm. Alpine temperature -3 C. South wind 25 gusting to 80 km/hr. Freezing level 900 m.
Wednesday: Snow and flurries, 10-30 cm. Alpine temperature -3 C. South wind 15 gusting to 45 km/hr. Freezing level 800 m.
Avalanche Summary
There have been no recent reports of avalanche activity. Looking ahead, expect new snow and wind to develop reactive slabs and add load to the snowpack, potentially adding stress to a recently buried surface hoar layer.
Snowpack Summary
Snowfall starting Sunday night will accumulate and develop slab properties with strong south-southwesterly winds.
This new storm snow is falling on 10-30 cm of recent snow which covered a concerning layer of surface hoar that formed in areas sheltered from the wind. Reports suggest this layer can be found on all aspects up to treeline elevations. In the alpine, the recent snow covered hard wind slabs and/or sun crusts on south-facing terrain.Â
The lower snowpack is generally considered strong, as there has been very little to report in terms of recent avalanche activity or snowpack test results on deeper layers. Snowpack depths at treeline range from 100-150 cm and taper quickly at lower elevations.
Problems
Storm Slabs
New snow and wind will build storm slabs through Monday.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 16th, 2019 5:00PM